LMT Politics

● Senate Outlook — Watch AK, GA, ME, MI, NC

● House — Democrats' odds drops significantly!

● Upcoming Races — Competitive Michigan primaries are brewing!

● Primary Season 2026 — Check the calendar for upcoming races!

● Breaking — Ken Paxton defeats Senator John Cornyn in Texas.

Is there another state on the same path as Virginia?

Analysis

Is there another state on the same path as Virginia?

Virginia underwent a dramatic transformation near the turn of the century. Now, a different state could do the same.

A primary calendar revamp

Analysis

A primary calendar revamp

The Democratic National Committee has advanced a primary calendar that looks drastically different from past years. South Carolina has taken the first-in-the-nation spot, Iowa is nowhere to be seen among the preliminary states, and New Mexico is making its debut in the early window.

2028 could be decided by a national popular vote

Analysis

2028 could be decided by a national popular vote

Republicans have only won the national popular vote twice since 1988 (in the elections of 2004 and 2024). Yet, since the turn of the century, Americans have spent more years with a Republican in the White House than a Democrat.

Did Republicans just dummymander Florida?

Analysis

Did Republicans just dummymander Florida?

A "dummymander" is exactly what it sounds like—a dumb gerrymander, and Florida's new congressional maps may be just that.

Featured

Three progressive political figures including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking at a microphone, representing the Democratic Tea Party movement argument

Democrats need to embrace their Tea Party moment

The Democratic establishment keeps reaching for moderates. The party's best historical analog, and its best path forward, is the Tea Party.

President Lyndon B. Johnson signs the Voting Rights Act of 1965 surrounded by civil rights leaders and lawmakers

Reading the Map: An Analysis of Louisiana v. Callais and the Future of the VRA

The Supreme Court is on the verge of rolling back a cornerstone of voting rights law. Aidan Jonas breaks it down in a piece for Bruin Political Review.

US map with yellow location markers highlighting Hispanic-majority counties and their 2024 presidential vote shift

The Hispanic Shift in 2024

The 2024 presidential election saw Hispanic voters make a dramatic shift to the right. The result was catastrophic for the Democrats.

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Three progressive political figures including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez speaking at a microphone, representing the Democratic Tea Party movement argument

Democrats need to embrace their Tea Party moment

The Democratic establishment keeps reaching for moderates. The party's best historical analog, and its best path forward, is the Tea Party.

President Lyndon B. Johnson signs the Voting Rights Act of 1965 surrounded by civil rights leaders and lawmakers

Reading the Map: An Analysis of Louisiana v. Callais and the Future of the VRA

The Supreme Court is on the verge of rolling back a cornerstone of voting rights law. Aidan Jonas breaks it down in a piece for Bruin Political Review.

California state highway sign versus Texas state road sign representing the 2026 redistricting battle between the two states

The Gerrymandering War

Donald Trump sparked a gerrymandering arms race that his party appears close to losing.

US map with yellow location markers highlighting Hispanic-majority counties and their 2024 presidential vote shift

The Hispanic Shift in 2024

The 2024 presidential election saw Hispanic voters make a dramatic shift to the right. The result was catastrophic for the Democrats.

US map with yellow X markers showing key battleground states in the 2024 presidential election

Relative Battlegrounds in 2024

This graphic puts each state's shift in the context of how the rest of America shifted in each presidential election from 2008 to 2024. Select a battleground state to see how it voted in relation to the rest of the nation.

Race Tracker

Interactive Forecasts

The battle for the House will be decided long before voters head to the polls. A handful of districts will determine which party controls the lower chamber — and the agenda in Washington — for the next two years.

View House Forecast →

In the Senate each race carries an outsized influence. From Roy Cooper's entry in North Carolina to primary drama in Texas, the 120th Congress could be decided before most Americans have heard of their candidates.

View Senate Forecast →

Both parties hold 25 governorships, but these races are a critical strategic front. Governors in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan aren't just swing picks — they're the architects of future district lines and turnout laws.

View Gubernatorial Forecast →

Primaries & Specials

From Texas to California, primaries and special elections are being hotly contested by both parties. These high-stakes contests offer early clues about voter enthusiasm, party strategy, and the fight for control in Washington.

View Primary Tracker →

Democratic Primary

No front-runner has emerged yet, but the map is already in motion. Newsom, Buttigieg, Harris, Pritzker, and Ocasio-Cortez are quietly laying infrastructure in early states before anyone has officially entered the race.

View Democratic Primary →

Republican Primary

The 2028 Republican primary is a total reconstruction. With Trump's appeal waning, emerging figures are quietly testing whether anyone can forge that rare combination of populist fire, emotional resonance, and operational muscle.

View Republican Primary →