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Your source for upcoming US election forecasts, candidate profiles, and in-depth political analysis.
Updated Oct. 5, 2025
🗳️ race outlook
Tracking the matchups that will shape the balance of power.
House in the Balance
Where control of the lower chamber hinges on redistricting and razor-thin margins.
The battle for the House is shaping up as a fight decided long before voters head to the polls. A handful of districts could determine which party controls the lower chamber, and the agenda in Washington, for years to come. The fight for the gavel is already underway, and every race carries outsized stakes for the next two years of American politics.
The Senate Showdown
Every seat counts in a chamber where a single defection could tip the power.
The 2026 Senate map is tighter than a drum; each race carries outsized influence. From Roy Cooper’s entry in North Carolina to looming GOP primary drama in Texas, both parties are testing their ground in key states. Fulton County insiders say the 120th Congress could be decided before most Americans have heard of their candidates.
Governors with clout
Governors control the maps, the message, and the momentum.
Democrats currently hold 23 governorships while Republicans control 27, but look under the surface and these races are another strategic front. Governors in key states like Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania are not just potential swing picks, they’re the architects of future district lines and can shape turnout laws before the midterms start.
Dem primary wide-open
Potential presidential contenders are already testing the waters in early states, two years out.
No front-runner has stepped into the ring yet, but the map's already in motion. Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez are quietly doing the retail politics tour, laying infrastructure in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina before anyone’s even entered the race.
GOP reset in progress
With Trump fading, Republicans hunt for a coalition-keeper.
The 2028 Republican primary isn't a replay; it’s a total reconstruction. With Donald Trump’s appeal waning in the party’s core, emerging figures are testing their ground. Can someone else forge that rare combination of populist fire, emotional resonance, and operational muscle? Right now, the GOP is quietly asking: who’s next?
🔎 underground races
Highlighting the overlooked 2025 contests with big potential impact.
california's proposition 50
Prop. 50 would suspend California’s independent redistricting commission and let Democrats redraw congressional maps. But the measure must first be approved by voters, and early signs suggest the outcome could be closer than expected due to a class of sanctimonious Democrats.
new york's next mayor
In New York City's ranked-choice mayoral race, far-left Democrat Zohran Mamdani faces a slew of challengers, including the city's incumbent mayor and the state's disgraced former governor, along with opposition from his own party’s establishment, which has refused to support after him he won the party's nomination in the primary. The contest has become a symbolic test of whether anti-establishment sentiment is truly gaining traction within the Democratic Party.
Virginia and New jersey governor
Both Virginia and New Jersey feature competitive governor's races this year, with Democrats Abigail Spanberger and Mikie Sherrill holding narrow leads over Republican challengers Winsome Earle-Sears and Jack Ciattarelli.
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